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Lots of good points.
I definitely agree with the concern that optimizing a headline during the initial wave of readership could be problematic. In the ideal world, a content creator would use an "optimized" headline from the moment the article is posted, sent out via RSS, etc.
But, how could one do that?
Just brainstorming here... Maybe create a service to test headline variations before the article is actually fully released to the general public? Something along the lines of pre-releasing content to a small group of users. Or creating the tools that allow sites to pre-release content (in a controlled and limited way) and then learn from the interactions with that content.
Any other ideas?
I'll pile onto Ledgerwood's advice that this is being done like crazy on millions of pages using tools such as Omniture Test&Target, GWO, SiteSpect, and Optimost. Although, I think you are running down a great path (it's the space I play in). My 2 cents ... take it a step further by having the delivery be true behavioral targeting (BT) versus an A/B, one gets more "success" events than another. Gather several different data points such as referrer, daypart, previous visit history, previous success events, etc., to behaviorally target the user with the appropriate ad. Build a robust enough tool that uses scientific methods for the behavioral targeting ... and you will definitely have a market. All the other BT tools on the market are outrageously expensive and out of reach of virtually everyone outside Fortune 100 companies.
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